Three debates in to the Republican presidential primary, the Winston Group has compiled the following analysis covering the questions and topics of each debate, candidate speaking time, the number of questions addressed to each candidate, and more. The appendix includes an updated list of the full text of each question asked in the debates so far.
How well have the debates covered the topics most important to voters? Who has gotten the most direct questions – and who has gotten the most chances to speak overall? Check out these numbers and more, compared across the Republican debates so far.
(Missed our 2012 Republican primary debates analysis?)
(cover image credit: Rick Wilking/Reuters)
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The first Republican primary debate is approaching on August 6th. How important will it be for GOP candidates?
Pollster David Winston, who is not affiliated with any candidate, said the early primary fight has provided a “great field” of candidates. But the rubber hits the road in August, when the first Fox debate will be held, followed by CNN’s in September.
“That’s what matters most,” Winston said. “It is a defining moment. It’s huge.”
For more, head to the rest of the story here.
How important is winning the Hispanic vote in 2016 and beyond?
“At the national level, as time progresses and as that population segment grows, they’re just going to have increasing importance. That’s a pretty straightforward trend,” GOP pollster David Winston said.
Find out more in the Washington Examiner article about how Republicans in past elections have done among Hispanic voters, and where current candidates stand with this voter group.
In the context of debate over the state of the economy as well as the upcoming 2016 presidential election, the WG’s David Winston summarizes what the overall GOP message on the economy should be:
David Winston, the pollster who helped coin the “where are the jobs” mantra for House Republicans in 2010, says the GOP message in 2016 should be just as simple: “Where is the middle class?”
You can find the rest of CNN’s story here, and see more of David Winston’s comments on this topic here.
In a Politico article discussing the way Republicans – and in particular potential 2016 presidential candidates – are discussing poverty and the middle class, the WG’s David Winston gives perspective on the state of the economy:
“This goes back to the Jack Kemp DNA part of the Republican Party: The whole point of a prosperous economy is everybody gets to prosper,” said GOP pollster David Winston. “You may look at the unemployment rate dropping below 6 percent, but workforce participation is as bad as it was in the late 1970s.”
Read the rest of the story here.
In the Washington Post, the WG’s David Winston discusses President Obama’s actions since the 2014 midterm elections, just before the 2015 State of the Union address:
“Given how poorly the election went for them, they need to find some way to derive a narrative,” David Winston, president of the Winston Group, a conservative consulting firm, said of the White House. On the president’s executive actions, he added, “There’s only so many he can do. . . . Ultimately, they have to figure out as a White House how to actually interact and get things done at a national level.”
Read rest of the story here.
Ahead of the 2015 State of the Union address, the WG’s David Winston tells the Washington Examiner what he’ll be looking for, and how voters’ feelings about the role of government have changed:
“I’ll be looking at the State of the Union address to see if [Obama] understood what happened in the last election or whether he just ignores it,” said David Winston, a veteran GOP pollster. “When a party ignores when the American people have spoken, it’s usually a dangerous moment for that party.”
Winston cited exit polls in the last four elections since 2008 when Obama was voted in office. When it comes to whether government should do more or less to solve the nation’s problems, Winston’s polls show a sharp swing against government solutions since Obama was first elected.
In 2008, amid a real estate correction that threatened large financial institutions, 51 percent of those surveyed said they believed government should do more to solve the country’s problems. In 2010, that number shrank to 38 percent. Support for more government intervention in markets was 44 percent in 2012 and 41 percent in 2014.
Read the rest of the story here.
This week, a finding from the Winston Group’s post-election survey was featured in the Washington Examiner’s “Washington Secrets” column –
Pollster David Winston provided Secrets with his latest analysis that included his trademark political sliding scale that for the first time tested the public’s opinion of Clinton’s political pulse.
He found that on a scale of 1 for liberal to 9 for conservative, voters put Clinton at 3.6, to the left of the House Democratic Caucus and just shy of Obama’s 3.37, the most liberal on the chart. Voters put themselves at a right-of-center 5.79, a yawning 2 points away from Clinton…
“Looking at 2016, the ideological spectrum should [be] concerning for Democrats, especially the likely front-runner Hillary Clinton. The good news for her is voters put her to the right of President Obama. The bad news for her is voters put her significantly to the left of where they put themselves ideologically,” Winston said.
Read the whole story here, or take a look at everything else we covered in our post-election analysis.
In the 2014 midterm elections, what did voters tell Washington? “Fix it.”
Read through our in-depth analysis to find out more about what voters want, who comprised the 2014 electorate, and what challenges and opportunities are ahead for both parties.
Access the PDF here.
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In Politico’s special report discussing the future of the Republican-controlled Senate and issues for each committee, the WG’s David Winston comments on the overall direction the Senate will take:
“I think the hope is that things move forward,” said the veteran Republican pollster David Winston. “For a whole lot of reasons, there’s going to be a focus on jobs and the economy, and then after that there will be an assessment of what’s achievable and what’s not.”
Read more at Politico.