Read our latest musings about politics, policy, and others out there who are making ideas matter.

Seven Key Stats From the 2020 Election

by Caitlin Peartree

By David Winston and Myra Miller

The horrific events in the Capitol have made this one of the darkest weeks in recent history. There is no justification whatsoever for what occurred on Wednesday. While Republicans should always support election integrity in the voting process, many people have had difficulty in understanding how President Trump could have lost at the presidential level while Congressional Republicans won seats at a widespread scale, contributing to the theory that the election was stolen or rigged. 

Click here for seven statistics from the 2020 election that should help explain this gap between the Congressional and presidential vote.

Roll Call: “2020 was no fluke for congressional Republicans, no matter the Georgia runoff results”

by Caitlin Peartree

In his first Roll Call column of 2021, the Winston Group’s David Winston offers an assessment of the 2020 elections in light of the Georgia run-offs:

What happens in the next 48 hours in Georgia and the halls of Congress will change the political dynamics of the next two years.

What it won’t change, however, is how and why President Donald Trump lost and Joe Biden won.

And it also won’t change the fact that congressional Republicans outperformed the president and upended the expected blue wave by focusing on legislative priorities that connected ideologically with a broader electorate.

Read the full piece here.

Roll Call: “Pelosi’s dilemma: Fuel the fires or practice what Biden preaches?”

by Caitlin Peartree

The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about Joe Biden’s calls for unity since the election, in contrast with Congressional Democrats’ seeming pursuit of a more progressive agenda.

When you lose seats like Florida’s 27th District or Iowa’s 2nd or Texas’ 23rd, perhaps a little introspection on the part of the speaker might be in order. Perhaps rethinking a progressive agenda that is at odds with a center-right country is a good first step. But if the events of the past couple of weeks are any indication, congressional Democrats are gearing up for more ideological battles, not preparing for peace talks.

Read the full piece here.

Roll Call: “Biden at bat: ‘There is no joy in Mudville’”

by Caitlin Peartree

The Winston Group’s David Winston considers the results of the election in today’s Roll Call, with takeaways for both Democrats and Republicans. 

In many ways, the 2020 election has already delivered its verdict. Simply put, the blue wave that was predicted never happened, and while it may not have technically been a red wave, it was certainly a “red surprise” with unexpected Republican strength driving key victories at every level.

In the end, there was “no joy in Mudville” for a party that expected a clean sweep. There was no mandate for Biden or the Democratic leadership on the Hill, nor for the Democratic Party and its policies. The top issue in this election was the economy, as it usually is, but this year, it was complicated by the impact of the coronavirus.

Read the full piece here.

Roll Call: “To win, Trump must focus on the economy in campaign’s remaining days”

by Caitlin Peartree

The Winston Group’s David Winston provides an election preview in today’s Roll Call, describing the elements that would need to be in place for a repeat of 2016:

Still, the Trump administration’s communications mistakes on the coronavirus are undeniable. The president has yet to deliver a concise, substantive defense of his administration’s achievements in fighting the virus and its economic impact on families and businesses. There is a reasonable case to be made, but the president has failed to make it.

This leaves the Trump campaign facing an uphill climb to victory next week.  But there is still a path if Trump can make this a state-by-state coalition election focused on the economy, just as he did in 2016.

Read the full piece here.

WG 2020 Final Presidential Debate Report

by Caitlin Peartree

With the election less than a week away, check out our analysis of the last Presidential debate, complete with information and insight on question topics, candidate speaking times, and more across all the 2020 debates.

Click here for the full report.

WG Town Hall Debate Report

by Caitlin Peartree

Before President Donald Trump and Vice President Joe Biden face off in the final debate on Thursday, check out our report and analysis of last week’s Presidential town halls and the questions posed to each candidate.

Roll Call: If you don’t like the Supreme Court, blame Harry Reid

by Caitlin Peartree

The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about court packing, the Biden campaign’s reticence to take a stance on the issue, and the political implications of doing so.

Our Sept. 26-30 Winning the Issues survey found voters opposed to expanding the court, with 33 percent in favor and 41 percent opposed. And by a 42 percent to 29 percent margin, they believed that “adding seats to the Supreme Court through court expansion would mean we begin to lose any credibility the court has.” On the issue of expanding the number of justices, liberal Democrats were more supportive (56 percent in favor, 23 percent opposed), but moderate Democrats were less so (38 percent in favor, 28 percent opposed), a major difference within the party. Independents opposed it 17 percent to 47 percent.

The Biden-Harris ticket faces a tough call — take a stand and risk alienating the progressives already suspicious of Biden’s promises, or scare moderate voters who are wary that a politically motivated change to the composition and character of the court would do irreparable damage to its credibility.

Read the full piece here.

Winston Group 2020 Vice Presidential Debate Report

by Caitlin Peartree

Interested in more debate analysis? Read our newly-updated debate report, with information and insight on candidate speaking times, question topics, and more from the October 7 Vice Presidential Debate between Senator Kamala Harris and Vice President Mike Pence.

For the full report, click here.

Winston Group 2020 Presidential Debate Report – First Debate

by Caitlin Peartree

Before the Vice Presidential debate tomorrow night, read our analysis of the first debate between President Trump and Vice President Biden for information and insight on candidate speaking times, question topics, and more.

Read the full report here.

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