Why Did The Democracy Issue Backfire On Democrats?
Throughout the presidential campaign, Democrats made democracy a major theme of their campaigns. Exit polls showed that in a choice of five issues, the two most important were “state of democracy” at 34%, and the economy at 31%. Abortion was a distant third at 14%, closely followed by immigration at 12%, and foreign policy at […]
The Groceries Election, According to Trump
In an interview on Sunday, President-elect Trump attributed his win to a simple reason: ”Very simple word, groceries… I started using the word – the groceries. When you buy apples, when you buy bacon, when you buy eggs, they would double and triple the price over a short period of time, and I won an election based on […]
Ideology Of The Presidential Candidates
In the aftermath of the election, Democrats are pointing fingers about who was to blame for the billion dollar campaign disaster. There is some recognition that Democrats were out of touch, and that they need to overhaul the party’s messaging. But at the heart of the messaging disconnect was that Kamala Harris and the Democratic […]
America’s New Third Party: Democrats
One of the questions we’re asked most frequently is whether there is room for a third party. Given the result in the 2024 election, there may be a new one on the political scene. As we highlighted in last Friday’s Discussion Points, the 2024 election produced a historic low for Democrats, continuing a decline from […]
The Electoral College Trigger
One of the questions we are asked the most is about why polls were wrong in the 2016 election that saw the “surprise” win for Trump. Polling averages had shown significant leads for Clinton, but the race tightened during October; polls not in the field toward the end missed the movement toward Trump, with the […]
New Inflation Trending
This morning’s new inflation report showed a slight moderation in year-over-year inflation (2.5%) but with core inflation up 3.2% from a year ago. The year-over-year rate is the lowest since March 2021, the month that the American Rescue Plan was passed. But with inflation still well over 2%, this result seems to indicate there might […]
The Value Of America’s Alliances
Last week was NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) week in Washington, as the alliance celebrated its 75th anniversary and welcomed the soon-to-be new Secretary General, former Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte. Alliances are receiving a heightened level of attention as they relate to the conflict in Ukraine. Former President Trump and others have indicated they […]
Deficit Claims From The Presidential Debate
Democrats are in full-scale panic after last week’s disastrous debate. Subsequent coverage has focused on the President’s performance, but today we are addressing one of the debate statements about the deficit. In the debate, President Biden said: “He [Trump] had the largest national debt of any president in a four-your period, number one.” At the Office of […]
Biden Underperforms Senate Candidates
Democrats are in full scale panic as polling nationally and in battleground states show the President in trouble, and in several cases, underperforming Congressional candidates. A new Wall Street Journal analysis shows Biden underperforming Senate candidates by 9 points. According to the WSJ, “What’s the opposite of presidential coattails? Presidential ankle weights? Whatever you call them, Joe Biden […]
Is Biden’s Blue Wall Collapsing Over Inflation?
Surveys show President Biden in deep trouble, but Democrats believe voters are disengaged and they have plenty of time to get their message out. Some are choosing to ignore surveys that show Biden behind, which is similar to Republicans that didn’t believe polls showing anything other than a Red Wave in 2022. Democrats would be […]