Analysis - All Posts
The Electoral College Trigger
One of the questions we are asked the most is about why polls were wrong in the 2016 election that saw the “surprise” win for Trump. Polling averages had shown significant leads for Clinton, but the race tightened during October; polls not in the field toward the end missed the
New Inflation Trending
This morning’s new inflation report showed a slight moderation in year-over-year inflation (2.5%) but with core inflation up 3.2% from a year ago. The year-over-year rate is the lowest since March 2021, the month that the American Rescue Plan was passed. But with inflation still well over 2%, this result
Roll Call: The popular vote: California versus the rest of the country
In today’s Roll Call, the Winston Group’s David Winston writes about a key indicator of electoral success: the winner of the popular vote outside of California. For both parties, historical trends show that the “rest of the country” margins align more closely with an Electoral College victory and can be
Will We See More Campus Protests This Fall?
The fall semester is now in full swing at colleges and universities across the country. In preparation for students’ return, many schools updated their policies around protests, harassment, and discrimination, from the University of California and the California State University systems to Harvard University, Indiana University, the University of Virginia,
Comparing The Republican And Democrat Education Platforms
With the release of the Democratic Party’s 2024 platform for the start of their convention today, this week we take a look at how the Democrats’ platform compares with the Republicans’ on education. The Democratic Platform: Education comes as part of the third chapter, “Lowering Costs;” the section addresses positions spanning
A 25 Year Look At Education Issue Handling
Going into an election, one of the important metrics to look at is which party voters have more confidence in to handle issues that are important to them. Data from the latest survey for Winning the Issues (July 23-25) sheds light on which party voters have more confidence in to