Analysis - All Posts
The Rise of Independents and Decline of Democrats: An Analysis Of The 2024 Presidential Election
This in-depth analysis, using Edison Research exit poll data, and the Winning the Issues post-election study, reviews what happened and why. For the first time since the Watergate era, independents surpassed one of the major political parties to rank second in terms of party identification. In this presidential election, the
Roll Call: Here’s how the media missed the story, from joy to democracy
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about the media narratives that “simply did not pan out, as the results and exit polls show.” Pundits also argued that because the country was so polarized, there were no neutral voters; everyone leaned toward one party or the other.
America’s New Third Party: Democrats
One of the questions we’re asked most frequently is whether there is room for a third party. Given the result in the 2024 election, there may be a new one on the political scene. As we highlighted in last Friday’s Discussion Points, the 2024 election produced a historic low for
Culture Wars vs. Learning Loss in the 2024 Election
In the lead-up to the 2024 election, we asked voters whether dealing with learning loss or cultural issues should be the the education policy priority. By over 3:1, voters said dealing with learning loss (65-21 learning loess-cultural issues). In our 2024 election survey of 1250 voters who voted at the
Roll Call: America may have a new third party – The Democrats
In today’s Roll Call, The Winston Group’s David Winston writes that 2024 may “go down in history as the election the Democratic Party ID hit an all-time low.” Exit polls ask voters which of the two major parties they identify with, or neither, as the case may be. Comparing the
Roll Call: This is the Obama-Biden-Harris Legacy
In today’s Roll Call, the Winston Group’s David Winston writes that “this election will be won or lost on the basis of who voters believe will deliver a stronger, more stable economy.” While Republicans had produced a better economy than Obama’s, their decision to emphasize other issues for the party’s