Analysis - All Posts
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Roll Call: Trump’s next test: Go beyond the base
In today’s Roll Call, the Winston Group’s David Winston writes about the Supreme Court’s recent decision to overrule the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to remove Donald Trump from the state’s primary ballot, and some challenges from Trump going forward. The exit polls also raised some important challenges for the Trump
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How Widespread Is Grade Inflation?
A topic we have been keeping a close eye on in the last several months is standardized tests in college admissions. A key reason many of the colleges chose to reinstate the testing requirement is that test scores tend to be better predictors of academic success than grades alone. It
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It’s the Year of the Independent: An analysis of the 2022 Midterm Election
In this election, Republicans, Democrats and the media expected a significant Red Wave. Projections of Republicans winning 240 seats were not uncommon, and most had the number at 230 or higher. On election night, it was not clear that Republicans could reach 218, and it wasn’t until over a week
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“Split Decision”: An analysis of the 2020 Presidential Election
Going into the 2020 November election, Joe Biden enjoyed a sizable lead, according to most media polling. Democrats believed the country was moving toward the left; and that, as a result, the political environment was also moving significantly in their direction. If they could tie Republican Congressional candidates in swing
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Placing Priority: How Issues Mattered More than Demographics in the 2016 Election
The Democracy Fund Voter Study Group has released two new reports exploring the views and values motivating the American electorate. As part of the Voter Study Group, the WG’s David Winston used a unique longitudinal dataset of 5,000 voters to explore which issues mattered most in 2016. Read the full