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Washington Post: Will Romney win the popular vote but lose the presidency?

by Lisa Mathias

The Washington Post’s Ezra Klein writes about recent poll numbers for President Obama and Mitt Romney, turning to David Winston for some insight into why Romney’s numbers are good now, but may not lead to a victory in November:

Another argument I heard was that with the polls this close, the election really comes down to turnout. “The number of variables in terms of turnout that still exist are major,” e-mailed David Winston, director of the Winston Group. “Party ID, minority composition, younger voters [all] make it more complicated to assess.’

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