The Winston Group is a strategy and research firm dedicated to making ideas matter.

Politico: In Politics, 40 is the New 50

by Emily O'Connor

Politico’s Maggie Haberman explores the trend of lowering approval ratings among winning political candidates. The WG’s David Winston explains how these candidates, some with ratings in the mid to low forties, are now electable:

“I think what you’re seeing is a reflection of the campaigns … when you’re not doing anything to improve your own personal standing and it’s all about how bad the other person is, then it’s not a race about who has the highest favorables, but it’s a race about who has the highest negatives,” said Republican pollster David Winston.

Read the rest at Politico.

The Diane Rehm Show: What to Expect from a Republican-Controlled Congress

by Emily O'Connor

The WG’s David Winston was a guest on the Diane Rehm Show to discuss what President Obama and a Republican Congress can hope to accomplish in the next two years. You can listen to the whole radio show here or read some of his comments below:

WSJ: On the Campaign Trail, Obama’s Hard to Find

by Emily O'Connor

The Wall Street Journal highlights President Obama’s comparatively quiet role in the 2014 midterm campaigns so far, particularly in Senate races. The Winston Group’s David Winston comments:

David Winston, a Republican strategist, said the White House has a long-term interest in demonstrating that Mr. Obama still has some political capital.

“If there was a sense that he was in a situation where he couldn’t help any Democratic candidate, that’s just not a good setup for his last two years,” Mr. Winston said.

Click here for the full story.

CBS News: “Crunching the Numbers: What if the swing voters aren’t who you think?”

by Emily O'Connor

The Winston Group’s David Winston and CBS’s Anthony Salvanto look beyond the usual political labels and groupings to talk about what voters – whether “base” or “swing” – really want from political parties:

Crunching the Numbers: What if the swing voters aren’t who you think?

 

LA Times: Why So Many Voters Care So Little About the Midterm Elections

by Emily O'Connor

The WG’s David Winston commented in an LA Times column on the midterm elections:

“The way to win is to tell voters what they’ll get with a Republican majority,” said David Winston, an advisor to House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio). “That’s what worked in 1994, and it worked again in 2010.”

To read the full column:

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-mcmanus-column-midterm-elections-20141001-column.html

Video: Is America Still Center Right?

by Lisa Mathias

In the first of a new series of short, original videos, we decided to look into whether the American electorate has remained ideologically center-right since the last two presidential elections, or whether voters have shifted to the left. We also explain what this means for Republicans as we go into the 2014 election season.

National Journal: Obamacare is Costing Democrats the White Women They’ll Need at the Ballot Box

by Lisa Mathias

National Journal has looked at disapproval for Obamacare in terms of demographic group breakdowns, as polls on the health care law are being released to reveal new numbers about where support and opposition lie. They specifically look at blue-collar white women, who may prove to be an important group in terms of the 2014 elections: David Winston provides some insight:

A new poll by Harvard’s Institute of Politics, for one, found millennials turning away from the law. And some GOP pollsters argue that focusing on the effects of just one group is misguided. “This isn’t just small segments of the electorate; these are huge, broad topics that affect everybody,” said David Winston, a Republican pollster with close ties to the House GOP. “Who isn’t interested in health care?”

To read more: nationaljournal.com

Politico: Obamacare Wins? See you in 2014

by Lisa Mathias

With the government shutdown over and the Obamacare website now live, Washington debates center around the site’s inability to operate properly as promised. David Nather writes that the issue is becoming one that could define the 2013 elections. David Winston comments:

“The challenge for Republicans is to make this a policy fight, not a political fight,” said David Winston, a top Republican pollster who advises the House GOP leadership. “It’s incumbent upon Republicans to come up with an alternative. For most people, going back to where we were is not an option.”

Read more: politico.com

Politico: Government Shutdown: Republicans downplay 2014 shutdown fallout

by Lisa Mathias

Just before the government shutdown began, Politico reported on the potential effects it might have on Republicans going into the 2014 elections. The WG’s David Winston commented in the report:

GOP pollster David Winston told POLITICO that it’s unclear how much a shutdown would affect the 2014 election.

“Here’s the bottom line: When it’s 52-card pickup, everyone is going to get hurt to some degree because people are seen as not governing,” Winston said. “It’s hard to know what the impact could be, but it creates a significant amount of uncertainty.”

To read the full article: politico.com

Bloomberg: Unpopular Republicans See Gains in ’14 Elections

by Lisa Mathias

Bloomberg’s Albert Hunt writes about the possible gains in House and Senate seats next year. David Winston comments:

Republican pollster David Winston foresees a good Republican year but warns it is far from assured: “There is an opportunity, not an outcome,” he says. “Voters aren’t looking for an opposition party; they are looking for an alternative.”

To read the full article, click through to bloomberg.com

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