The Winston Group is a strategy and research firm dedicated to making ideas matter.

Analysis: The 2012 Republican Primary Debates By the Numbers

by Emily O'Connor

As we look toward the upcoming 2016 Republican primary debates, the WG has put together this analysis of the 2012 debates. What topics were asked about most? How well did these reflect what voters said they cared about? Who asked what questions? Read more:

Questions in Context: The 2012 Republican Primary Debates By the Numbers

Questions in Context: The 2012 Republican Primary Debates By the Numbers

 

WashEx: “2016 begins at first Fox debate”

by Emily O'Connor

The first Republican primary debate is approaching on August 6th. How important will it be for GOP candidates?

Pollster David Winston, who is not affiliated with any candidate, said the early primary fight has provided a “great field” of candidates. But the rubber hits the road in August, when the first Fox debate will be held, followed by CNN’s in September.

“That’s what matters most,” Winston said. “It is a defining moment. It’s huge.”

For more, head to the rest of the story here.

ABC News: “Americans Split on Whether Clinton Cares About Their Needs”

by Emily O'Connor

In recent polls, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s ratings are down on measures such as whether Americans feel she “cares about people like you” or “understands the problems of people like you.”

Republican pollster David Winston said the intense early focus on such issues gives Republicans an opening to define the terms of the debate over the direction each party wants to take the country.

“If she doesn’t have a product on the shelf — her ideas — what’s the point?” Winston asked.

Read the rest of the story here.

The Hill: “Rick Perry hopes second time is a charm”

by Emily O'Connor

As former Texas Gov. Rick Perry announced his second bid for the presidency today, the WG’s David Winston commented on the main challenges he faces entering the race:

“Here’s someone who has a successful state story to tell, and yet his primary challenge will be to work through that awful moment he had in the debates the last time around,” said David Winston, a Republican pollster who worked on Newt Gingrich’s 2012 campaign.

“This is where the debates will be critical for him,” Winston said. “He’ll have to stand up there in a competitive situation and deliver his viewpoints in such a way that people look at his last time and say, ‘everyone has one bad moment.’ ”

The Hill’s article notes that Perry has focused recently on foreign policy issues and speeches.

“Clearly he thinks that’s become a strength of his,” said Winston. “It’s one area where governors are typically criticized for not having much experience, so he’s taken steps to address that question. It’s part of trying to make himself a complete package.”

Read the rest of the article here.

LA Times Op-Ed: “Fox Appoints itself a GOP primary gatekeeper”

by Emily O'Connor

Fox News recently announced the rules for inclusion in the first GOP primary debate, which it will host this August – ten candidates will be allowed, chosen by their standings in the latest national polls. The WG’s David Winston comments on the importance of this debate:

“That first debate is huge…That’s going to be a real sorting-out moment. Any candidate who can’t get into the first debate will be at a significant disadvantage.”

“I tell Republicans that Fox News is generally the most efficient way, in terms of time spent, to reach conservative Republicans — even more efficient than their local news.”

For more on the upcoming debate, read the rest of the column.

Ripon Forum Features “What America Wants” by David Winston

by Emily O'Connor

Don’t miss the WG’s David Winston’s essay “What America Wants” in the latest edition of the Ripon Forum, discussing how Congress shaped the ’80 presidential campaign – and how it can help shape 2016:

Congressional Republicans can help create a winning general election environment by legislating a dynamic growth agenda, an actionable agenda on issues people care most about. In doing so, they can also put the party and eventual nominee on a path to a majority coalition…

What do Americans want? A plan to bring America back – not next July in Cleveland but starting now.

Read the full essay here.

WashEx: “Hispanic hill looms for GOP”

by Emily O'Connor

How important is winning the Hispanic vote in 2016 and beyond?

“At the national level, as time progresses and as that population segment grows, they’re just going to have increasing importance. That’s a pretty straightforward trend,” GOP pollster David Winston said.

Find out more in the Washington Examiner article about how Republicans in past elections have done among Hispanic voters, and where current candidates stand with this voter group.

LA Times: “In Miami, Sen. Marco Rubio calls 2016 election a ‘generational choice'”

by Emily O'Connor

Last week, Sen. Marco Rubio announced he will be running for President in 2016. The WG’s David Winston pointed out the common challenge facing all of the Republican candidates that will shape the presidential race:

David Winston, a Republican pollster and strategist, said the challenge for Rubio, like all the Republican candidates, will be to deliver a compelling message.

“He’s got to decide who he is, lay out his principles and lay out a vision for the country that people can get behind,’’ Winston said.

Read the rest of the story on Rubio’s campaign launch speech.

 

Politico: In Politics, 40 is the New 50

by Emily O'Connor

Politico’s Maggie Haberman explores the trend of lowering approval ratings among winning political candidates. The WG’s David Winston explains how these candidates, some with ratings in the mid to low forties, are now electable:

“I think what you’re seeing is a reflection of the campaigns … when you’re not doing anything to improve your own personal standing and it’s all about how bad the other person is, then it’s not a race about who has the highest favorables, but it’s a race about who has the highest negatives,” said Republican pollster David Winston.

Read the rest at Politico.

Bloomberg View: How to Waste Money and Annoy Voters

by Emily O'Connor

In Francis Wilkinson’s editorial from Bloomberg View, the WG’s David Winston comments on whether the abundance of political advertising in the 2014 midterm elections has reached a saturation point:

“It depends,” said Republican strategist David Winston. “If it is a new topic or idea people will listen. If it’s just a variation on a familiar theme, then less so as they have already heard it. Hearing a point the 96th time is not likely to generate a different reaction than when it was heard the 73rd time.”

For the rest of the piece, click here.
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