The Winston Group is a strategy and research firm dedicated to making ideas matter.

The Hill: “Trump launches media offensive to rehab image”

by Emily O'Connor

The Hill takes a look at Donald Trump’s seeming change of tactics recently in addressing the media and some of his past comments, and the Winston Group’s David Winston comments:

“This reflects his campaign’s understanding of the obvious — that his high unfavorability rating is unsustainable in the general election,” said David Winston, who served as Newt Gingrich’s pollster for the former House Speaker’s 2012 presidential run.

“The first step you take in correcting that is reaching out to groups to address certain perceptions about him,” Winston said. “It will be a challenge, but it’s not clear that views about him have completely hardened yet, so there’s opportunity here.”

…And an April poll from Gallup found that 70 percent of women view Trump unfavorably, with only 23 percent saying they had a positive view of him.

“That’s a huge problem and a terrible place to be,” said Winston. “Women make up a majority of the electorate. At this point, the best asset Trump and Clinton have is how unpopular the other candidate is.”

For more, head here.

WashPo: “Trump’s improbable coup leaves Republican Party in an identity crisis”

by Emily O'Connor

In an article discussing what a Trump nomination means for the Republican party, the WG’s David Winston comments on the challenge of creating a majority coalition:

“The question is whether Trump can put together a majority coalition with unfavorable ratings in the mid-60s,” said veteran GOP pollster David Winston. “Granted, Clinton is in the mid-50s with her ratings, but he has to define a plan to get his unfavorable numbers down. If he can’t, it’ll be a big problem.”

For more, head here.

LA Times: “Trump rails against the GOP nomination process, but it’s hardly novel”

by Emily O'Connor

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has recently criticized the nomination process and rules. In the LA Times last week, the WG’s David Winston commented on this topic:

“As a candidate, the first thing you better understand is what the rules are, because the rules apply to everybody the same,” said David Winston, a Republican pollster and strategist who is unaligned in the nomination fight. Trump “didn’t apparently take the amount of time and effort needed to do that effectively.”

For more, head here.

WashPo Opinion: “This election is an unpopularity contest for the ages”

by Emily O'Connor

Washington Post columnist Ruth Marcus writes about the unprecedented unfavorable ratings of both parties’ presidential candidate frontrunners. The WG’s David Winston commented on how this will affect the state of the electorate:

If the nominees are Trump and Clinton, said Republican pollster David Winston, “You’re probably looking somewhere in the neighborhood of three out of 10 Americans having a negative view of both. You could have a very frustrated electorate by the time we get to Election Day.”

For more, head to The Washington Post.

Analysis: The First 2016 Presidential Primary Debates, By the Numbers

by Emily O'Connor

Four debates in to the Republican presidential primary, the Winston Group has compiled the following analysis covering the questions and topics of each debate, candidate speaking time, the number of questions addressed to each candidate, and comparison to the topics of the two Democrat debates so far. The appendix includes an updated list of the full text of each question asked in each of the debates.

How well have the debates covered the topics most important to voters? Who has gotten the most direct questions – and who has gotten the most chances to speak overall? Check out these numbers and more, compared across the Republican and Democrat debates so far.

(Missed our 2012 Republican primary debates analysis?)

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Analysis: First Three Republican Debates, By the Numbers

by Emily O'Connor

Three debates in to the Republican presidential primary, the Winston Group has compiled the following analysis covering the questions and topics of each debate, candidate speaking time, the number of questions addressed to each candidate, and more. The appendix includes an updated list of the full text of each question asked in the debates so far.

How well have the debates covered the topics most important to voters? Who has gotten the most direct questions – and who has gotten the most chances to speak overall? Check out these numbers and more, compared across the Republican debates so far.

(Missed our 2012 Republican primary debates analysis?)

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(cover image credit: Rick Wilking/Reuters)

WashEx: “2016 begins at first Fox debate”

by Emily O'Connor

The first Republican primary debate is approaching on August 6th. How important will it be for GOP candidates?

Pollster David Winston, who is not affiliated with any candidate, said the early primary fight has provided a “great field” of candidates. But the rubber hits the road in August, when the first Fox debate will be held, followed by CNN’s in September.

“That’s what matters most,” Winston said. “It is a defining moment. It’s huge.”

For more, head to the rest of the story here.

WashEx: “Hispanic hill looms for GOP”

by Emily O'Connor

How important is winning the Hispanic vote in 2016 and beyond?

“At the national level, as time progresses and as that population segment grows, they’re just going to have increasing importance. That’s a pretty straightforward trend,” GOP pollster David Winston said.

Find out more in the Washington Examiner article about how Republicans in past elections have done among Hispanic voters, and where current candidates stand with this voter group.

CNN: The GOP Battle for the Middle Class

by Emily O'Connor

In the context of debate over the state of the economy as well as the upcoming 2016 presidential election, the WG’s David Winston summarizes what the overall GOP message on the economy should be:

David Winston, the pollster who helped coin the “where are the jobs” mantra for House Republicans in 2010, says the GOP message in 2016 should be just as simple: “Where is the middle class?”

You can find the rest of CNN’s story here, and see more of David Winston’s comments on this topic here.

 

Politico: Jeb Bush moves to show he’s no Mitt Romney

by Emily O'Connor

In a Politico article discussing the way Republicans – and in particular potential 2016 presidential candidates – are discussing poverty and the middle class, the WG’s David Winston gives perspective on the state of the economy:

“This goes back to the Jack Kemp DNA part of the Republican Party: The whole point of a prosperous economy is everybody gets to prosper,” said GOP pollster David Winston. “You may look at the unemployment rate dropping below 6 percent, but workforce participation is as bad as it was in the late 1970s.”

Read the rest of the story here.

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