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October 2012 Survey

by Lisa Mathias

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Washington Post: Will Romney win the popular vote but lose the presidency?

by Lisa Mathias

The Washington Post’s Ezra Klein writes about recent poll numbers for President Obama and Mitt Romney, turning to David Winston for some insight into why Romney’s numbers are good now, but may not lead to a victory in November:

Another argument I heard was that with the polls this close, the election really comes down to turnout. “The number of variables in terms of turnout that still exist are major,” e-mailed David Winston, director of the Winston Group. “Party ID, minority composition, younger voters [all] make it more complicated to assess.’

To read the full article, turn to washingtonpost.com.

Washington Examiner: First print, now TV news being junked for computers, smartphones

by Lisa Mathias

Paul Bedard, writing for the Washington Secrets blog in the Washington Examiner, takes a look at the infographic we recently released that shows a breakdown of news consumption per device, among 3 different demographic groups. Bedard turned to the WG’s David Winston for more insight:

“Among the ‘Overall’ responses, television was still the most popular device, but computers were a reasonably close second, well ahead of radio. Additionally, radio is beginning to see some stiff competition from smartphones,” said Winston.

To read the full post, turn to washingtonexaminer.com.

WSJ: Political Pros: What the Final Debate Means

by Lisa Mathias

For the third and final presidential debate of this election season, the WG’s David Winston continues his series writing for the Wall St. Journal’s Washington Wire blog. Winston gives his reaction to Monday night’s debate, stating that Governor Romney succeeded in his tactic of avoiding attacking Obama and instead offering his ideas:

…Mr. Romney came to the debate with a strategy that avoided harsh attacks on Mr. Obama’s foreign-policy record, instead offering voters his own foreign-policy direction for the future. Several times during the debate when Mr. Obama went on the offensive, Mr. Romney calmly told the president he was more interested in talking about where each of them would take the country rather than engaging a rhetorical war of attrition.

To read the full post, turn to blogs.wsj.com.

Infographic: Which devices do you get more of your news from?

by David Winston

Recently, Newsweek announced that it will no longer be producing a print version of the iconic magazine. No matter what business concerns lead to that decision, one fact that must be acknowledged is that there are dramatic changes happening in how Americans consume news. The Winston Group recently conducted a survey that asked respondents which electronic devices they use to get their news. Here is what we found:

Among the “Overall” responses, television was still the most popular device, but computers were a reasonably close second, well ahead of radio. Additionally, radio is beginning to see some stiff competition from smartphones.

But the advantage in audience size that television has over computers and the lead that radio has over smartphones disappears when you look at younger members of the population. Among 35-44 year olds, smart phones and tablets are already outpacing radio as a source of news. When you look at 18-44 year olds, the results are even more striking with computers dominate as a source of news, outpacing television, with smartphones beginning to challenge for second spot.

So while not every magazine will incur the same fate as Newsweek, there can be no doubt that the media landscape has already changed for the youngest members of the adult population.

WSJ: Political Pros: Romney Momentum vs. Stronger Obama

by Lisa Mathias

The WG’s David Winston continues blogging for the Wall St. Journal’s Washington Wire, this time highlighting his takeaways from the second Obama-Romney debate. Although President Obama came out stronger than he did in his first debate, says Winston, but he still needs to play defense:

One of the interesting points of debate that emerged was the question of whether the weak economy is the result of the policies of former President George W. Bush or the policies of President Obama. The resolution of this question will be a determining factor in the election.

To read more, click to blogs.wsj.com.

US News: Paul Ryan Won by Staying Cool and Composed

by Stephanie Slade

This morning a short opinion piece I wrote in answer to the question of who won last night’s vice presidential debate appeared in U.S. News and World Report.

But there is one very real way in which the vice presidential showdown was a win for Ryan. He came into the night the youngest and least-known member of either ticket. Casual observers were introduced to a competent, mature policy wonk with a strong command of the issues and, perhaps most importantly, a demonstrated ability to remain composed despite the disrespectful bluster of his opponent.

I go on to explain that part of voters’ job is to decide whether they trust a candidate to be second in line for the presidency. Against that standard, Ryan passed with flying colors.

Check out the rest of the article (and other takes on the issue as well) at the U.S. News website.

WSJ: Political Veterans: A ‘Real’ and ‘Testy’ Debate

by Lisa Mathias

The WG’s David Winston contributed to the Wall St. Journal “Washington Wire” blog today, giving his take on how last night’s Vice Presidential Debate went.

An excerpt:

The most frustrating moment was when Ryan was trying to outline historical situations where tax cuts led to economic growth and tax revenue, only to be interrupted by both Mr. Biden and moderator Martha Raddatz. This is a central economic argument between the two campaigns and we never got a chance to hear the differences. It was a real disappointment.

To read more, turn to blogs.wsj.com.

David Winston on Jansing & Co., 10/9/12

by Lisa Mathias

The WG’s David Winston chatted with Chris Jansing this morning, along with former Senator Byron Dorgan about campaign finances, taxes, and the first presidential debate:

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

NYTimes: Is there Life After Mitt?

by Lisa Mathias

Matt Bai writes an op-ed in today’s New York Times about the future of the Republican party after the elections. Bai talked to the WG’s David Winston, who provided some stats that work in Romney’s favor, but expressed that Romney needs to take advantage of the current economic situation:

Obama hasn’t won anything yet, of course, and on the day Winston and I talked, Romney still had three debates in which to make his case. But in Republican circles, you can already hear the howls of agony and recrimination. “When you have unemployment that high, and the economy is perceived to be as weak as it is, the door is wide open for a challenger, irrespective of party,” Winston told me. “You have to lay out the alternative so that people have something to go to.” The main question facing the party, should Romney lose, will be this: Was the fateful flaw the candidate’s inability to articulate that alternative, or was it the alternative itself?

To read the full article, turn to nytimes.com.

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