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November II 2010 Survey

by Lisa Mathias

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Washington Examiner: Obama’s poll numbers point to his defeat in 2012

by Lisa Mathias

Washington Examiner’s Byron York takes a look at the falling numbers behind Obama’s approval ratings, predicting that at the rate they are now, he won’t be reelected in 2012. York turned to The Winston Group’s David Winston for some explanation behind why the president has fallen behind in the polls:

“He’s got to realize the reason he lost independents,” says Winston of the president. “He thinks it was about communications. It wasn’t. It was about substance and policy.”

Read more at the Washington Examiner

November 2010 Post-Election Survey

by Lisa Mathias

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NPR: The Midterms From 2 Pollsters’ Point Of View

by Lisa Mathias

The WG’s David Winston and Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg chatted with NPR’s Robert Siegel about the results of midterm elections, and what lessons they learned and could impart on candidates for the next round. One big lesson according to David Winston: Independents matter.

When Republicans lost in 2006, we lost independents by 18 points. In this election, we won independents by 18 points. That’s the difference between being in the majority and minority. In 1994, when we won, we won them by 14 points. The political center is where you build your majority coalition. And that’s the lesson to be learned from this election.

To listen to the entire interview or read the transcript, turn to npr.org