April 2010 Survey

by Lisa Mathias

PDF Version

April II 2011 Survey

by Lisa Mathias

PDF Version

Dont be too quick to mistake tea party for Perot movement

by canderson

On The Washington Post’s website today, Dan Balz writes about the Tea Party movement.

In 1992, 53 percent of those who backed Perot for president described themselves as moderate, with 27 percent calling themselves conservative and 20 percent liberal, according to the exit polls. Among tea party activists, the Post poll and the CBS-New York Times poll both found that nearly three-quarters called themselves conservative. David Winston, a Republican pollster, pegged the group’s makeup as 65 percent conservative, 26 percent moderate.

Dont be too quick to mistake tea party for Perot movement [The Washington Post].

Schoen and Caddell – How the Democrats can avoid a November bloodbath

by canderson

From a column today on The Washington Post’s website:

To be sure, great efforts have been made recently to demonize the Tea Party movement. But polling suggests that the Tea Party movement has not been diminished but, in fact, has grown stronger. The Winston Group found, in three national surveys conducted from December through February and published April 1, that the Tea Party movement is composed of a broad cross-section of the American people — 40 to 50 percent of its supporters are non-Republicans. Indeed, one-third of self-identified Democrats say they support the Tea Party movement.

Douglas E. Schoen and Patrick H. Caddell – How the Democrats can avoid a November bloodbath [The Washington Post]

Tech: Five ways Keynote for the iPad badly misses the mark

by canderson

Because we at The Winston Group heavily use Apple’s presentation software called Keynote, we were very excited when a version was announced for Apple’s new tablet computer, the iPad. Sadly, our expectations haven’t been met.

I just wrote a long post on “The Unofficial Apple Weblog” detailing the five ways in which Keynote for the iPad misses the mark. Check it out!

One app that I (along with a growing contingent online) am incredibly disappointed with is produced by the one company who shouldn’t need more time to learn the device — Apple, Inc. I’m referring to Keynote, Apple’s presentation application. Keynote for the iPad was billed as a full-featured presentation package, offering the same features and full compatibility with the wonderful desktop version. As a Keynote addict, I was incredibly excited to see how this program would be redefined by a giant touch screen. 

After using the app since launch day, I’m sad to report that Apple has made some big mistakes with the iPad version of Keynote. I’ve noticed what many concerned and angry commenters on Apple’s support forums have also noticed: the iPad corrupts and changes many Keynote presentations imported from a Mac, lacks support for custom fonts, and overall is a stripped down version of its desktop relative. I was frustrated to experience these problems because I had been so excited for the iPad’s Keynote potential.

Christian Science Monitor: GOP marginalizing Michael Steele in run-up to midterm elections

by Lisa Mathias

CSM’s Linda Feldmann features commentary from David Winston on today’s story about the GOP’s possible success in the 2010 elections, among efforts to marginalize Michael Steele in his position as Chairman of the RNC.

“There’s a certain level of infrastructure that’s certainly important,” says David Winston, a Republican pollster. “But ultimately, it’s the broader message and the American people’s sense of who they want to have govern the country that matters.”

To read the full story, turn to CSMonitor.com

David Winston on The Daily Rundown – April 5, 2010

by Lisa Mathias

The WG’s David Winston appeared on Chuck Todd and Savannah Guthrie’s morning show, “The Daily Rundown,” on MSNBC, discussing our Tea Party poll results:

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

FiveThirtyEight: A Teacup Half-Full

by canderson

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight posted about our Tea Party analysis with a great write up and an interesting comparison:

There are two ways that one can read the Winston Group poll on the political orientation of those who consider themselves a part of the tea-party movement. One way — the headline that The Hill very reasonably chose — is that about 40 percent of tea-partiers are independents or Democrats. The other — obviously every bit as mathematically valid — is that 60 percent are Republicans. Either way, the results are more interesting thansurprising, as they are broadly in line with previous polling on the subject — as well as what I think we can reasonably infer about the movement.

FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: A Teacup Half-Full.

LA Times: Myth-busting polls: Tea Party members are average Americans, 41% are Democrats, independents

by Lisa Mathias

The LA Times features a story on Tea Party members and their makeup, and refers to our Tea Party poll and analysis, along with commentary from The WG’s David Winston:

“It’s a good sample size,” David Winston, polling director of the Winston Group that did the poll for an education advocacy group, told the Ballot Box blog of The Hill newspaper.

The Tea Party adherents broke down 28% independent, 17% Democrat and only 57% Republican. Not coincidentally, this bipartisan breakdown has been the way that Tea Party favorite Sarah Palin has often described movement members as “commonsense Americans” worried and….

…angered by the over-reaching one-party control of Democrats in Washington these last 15 months, rooted initially in opposition to Obama’s $787 billion government economic stimulus package.

Read the full story at latimesblogs.com

Behind the Headlines: What’s driving the Tea Party Movement?

by David Winston

New polling data examines the demographics and political philosophy behind the Tea Party Movement

WASHINGTON DC (April 1, 2010) — Tea Party activists may be ardent supporters of economic conservatism but are similar to the overall electorate when it comes to economic priorities, according to the findings of a new report released by The Winston Group today on the political movement.

In one of the most extensive looks to date at just who Tea Party activists are, how they think, and the ideas that matter to them, the report found that 17% of the people polled considered themselves “part of the Tea Party movement” and more than four in ten Tea Party members said they were either Independents or Democrats.

In three national surveys, done for New Models from December 2009 through February 2010, 57% of Tea Party members called themselves Republicans, another 28% said they were Independents, and 13% were Democrats. Two-thirds of Tea Party members identify as conservatives but 26% say they are moderate and 8% described themselves as liberal

The study also found Tea Party members are more likely to be male by a 56-44% margin, slightly older than the electorate as a whole and middle income earners. When it comes to issues, the research found that Tea Party activists espouse a strong economic conservatism.

According to David Winston, president of The Winston Group,

“Our research shows that Tea Party activists’ top concern – economy and jobs — mirrors the majority of voters in the country.”

In the February 2010 New Models study, 36% of Tea Party members name the economy and jobs as their top issue with national deficit and spending close behind at 21% — over twice as high as the overall electorate. However, when given the choice in the January survey, Tea Party members favored “reducing unemployment to 5%” over balancing the budget 63-32%, which closely reflects the overall electorate (64-32%).

While Tea Party members prioritize job creation over deficit spending and tax issues, they value economically conservative policies because they view them as a means to reducing unemployment and improving the economy. Over 4 out of 5 Tea Party members (85%) say tax cuts for small business will create more jobs than increased government spending on infrastructure while the overall electorate prefers tax cuts by a more modest 61-31% margin.

Topline results [PDF]

Full analysis [PDF]

Tea Party Memo April 2010